Model track record

Every pick the model records is graded against the final score or box score at the price and venue it found, and measured against that venue's closing line. Picks are recorded when the model's edge after costs is at least 3.0%; nothing is ever placed and nothing is removed.

Not enough graded picks yet

0 of the 20 graded picks needed before a record is shown. Small samples say nothing about a model, so this page stays empty until the sample is real.

ROI is profit over stake on graded picks at the recorded price; CLV is the closing break-even probability at the pick's venue minus the pick's own break-even (positive means the price beat the close). Pushes count as graded with zero profit.

Daily Fantasy Resource

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Data

Live box scores, re-verified nightly.

Fantasy scoring for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo.

Plainly

Nothing on this site is betting advice. The tables are descriptive statistics built from public box scores; how you use them is up to you.