Props record
Every prop of the last 200 final games, re-projected only from the games before it and graded against the box score at the closing line. The edge bucket is the board's own edge; the record is honest only if the hit rate rises with the bucket.
799 props · stored Sep 16, 1:30a ET
Over rate at the line
49.1%
Brier (raw)
0.296
Brier (shrunk)
0.2725
Log loss (raw)
0.9034
| Edge bucket | Props | Hit | ROI at −110 |
|---|---|---|---|
| edge >= +10% | 185 | 52.4% | +0.1% |
| +5% to +10% | 71 | 49.3% | −5.9% |
| 0 to +5% | 62 | 51.6% | −1.5% |
| -5% to 0 | 53 | 49.1% | −6.3% |
| -10% to -5% | 65 | 47.7% | −8.9% |
| edge <= -10% | 363 | 54.0% | +3.1% |
| rec | 166 | 57.2% | +9.3% |
| rec_yds | 166 | 52.4% | +0.1% |
| tackles | 99 | 47.5% | −9.4% |
| rush_yds | 81 | 50.6% | −3.4% |
| def_sacks | 68 | 50.0% | −4.5% |
| rush_att | 63 | 47.6% | −9.1% |
| pass_yds | 32 | 65.6% | +25.3% |
| pass_att | 31 | 41.9% | −19.9% |
| pass_cmp | 31 | 58.1% | +10.8% |
| pass_int | 31 | 48.4% | −7.6% |
| pass_td | 31 | 51.6% | −1.5% |