Props record
Every prop of the last 200 final games, re-projected only from the games before it and graded against the box score at the closing line. The edge bucket is the board's own edge; the record is honest only if the hit rate rises with the bucket.
1196 props · stored Sep 16, 1:30a ET
Over rate at the line
11.0%
Brier (raw)
0.1201
Brier (shrunk)
0.1292
Log loss (raw)
0.9705
| Edge bucket | Props | Hit | ROI at −110 |
|---|---|---|---|
| edge >= +10% | 6 | 16.7% | −68.2% |
| +5% to +10% | 23 | 13.0% | −75.1% |
| 0 to +5% | 17 | 17.6% | −66.3% |
| -5% to 0 | 0 | — | — |
| -10% to -5% | 8 | 87.5% | +67.0% |
| edge <= -10% | 1142 | 89.1% | +70.2% |
| hr | 1196 | 86.3% | +64.7% |